给孩子讲宇宙2022版 大物理学家第十三届文津图书奖得主——李淼教授佳作 pdf 下载 txt 阿里云 lit rtf azw3 免费

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It seems that the motion of the planets around the sun is ultimately chaotic, though with a long time scale. This means that the errors in any prediction get bigger as time goes on. After a certain time, it becomes impossible to predict the motion in detail. We can be fairly sure that the earth will not have a close encounter with Venus for quite a long time, but we cannot be certain that small perturbations in the orbits could not add up to cause such an encounter a billion years from now.

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